According to StockMKTNewz, the US April CPI inflation data will be released tomorrow at 8:30AM ET, and prediction market Polymarket is currently pricing in a year-over-year CPI of 2.3% or below as the most likely outcome (source: StockMKTNewz on Twitter, May 12, 2025). This lower inflation expectation could significantly impact cryptocurrency markets, as a softer reading may fuel optimism for a more dovish Federal Reserve stance, historically leading to increased risk appetite and potential upward momentum for major digital assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.

According to @Zac_Pundi, Polymarket traders currently assign a 98.2% probability to the Federal Reserve maintaining current interest rates at the May 2025 FOMC meeting, with only 1.6% expecting a 25 basis point increase (source: @Zac_Pundi on Twitter, May 7, 2025). For crypto traders, this strong consensus suggests that major volatility tied to U.S. monetary policy is unlikely in the near term. Stable rates are generally interpreted as neutral-to-positive for risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, as they keep liquidity conditions unchanged. Market participants should monitor any unexpected FOMC commentary, as even small surprises can trigger rapid crypto price movements.